During a Pentagon briefing last weekend, Secretary of Defence James Mattis dropped a bombshell by innocuously slipping in that the US military intends to set up a string of observation posts on the Syrian-Turkish border. Mattis implied that Turkey was on board and that the idea was for the two militaries to jointly prevent any …
Post-Khashoggi US-Saudi ties become iffy
(Lockheed Martin’s THAAD Missile System) Saudi Arabia has inked the deal, finally, after nearly two years of discussions to buy Lockheed Martin’s Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) weapon system. The massive$15 billion deal involves Saudi Arabia buying 44 THAAD launchers, missiles and related equipment. The Trump administration had vigorously canvassed for the arms deal, …
Rising Crimea tensions mar Trump-Putin meeting
(Kerch Strait, Crimea, and Sea of Azov) The ‘frozen conflict’ in Ukraine has suddenly become active on Sunday with an encounter involving the naval vessels of Ukraine and Russia at Kerch Strait in Crimea, the entry point of the Sea of Azov from the Black Sea. The Russians have detained three Ukrainian ships that tried …
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US creates new facts on the ground in Syria
The Trump administration is making a determined effort to engage with Turkey, which used to be the anchor sheet of American regional strategies in the Middle East for several decades. Without a robust partnership with Turkey, US policies remain ineffectual on several regional fronts – ranging from the Black Sea and Eastern Mediterranean to post-conflict …
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Prospects for Syrian peace are looking up
(Astana-9 meeting on Syria, May 2018) After prolonged hibernation, the Astana Process on Syrian peace is kinetic, with the troika of ‘guarantor’ states – Russia, Turkey and Iran – set to hold a round of talks in the Kazakh capital on November 28-29. Delegations of Syrian government and the opposition are also expected to attend. …
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Russo-Japanese peace treaty is doable
(Map of Kuril Islands disputed by Japan and Russia) A new template is forming in the geopolitics of the Asia-Pacific – Russo-Japanese concord. The two regional powers with a troubled history are moving in the direction of concluding a peace treaty that could formally end their World War 2 hostilities and open a new page …
Maldives poses formidable challenges for India
(Maldives President Ibrahim Mohamed Soilh) In South Asia, democracy wears a tired look generally, and Maldives stands out as exception. After all, the old regime, which was much maligned by Indians, did allow free and fair elections, took their defeat gracefully (although winning over 40% votes) and when the day dawned on November 17, stepped …
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It’s time for Trump to revisit Afghan strategy
(Russia, Central Asia and Afghanistan) Surely, the recent Moscow conference on Afghanistan (November 9) brought to light that the peace talks will get a big fillip if the US and Russia work in tandem. (See my column in SCF titled US Can Avoid Afghan Quagmire with Russia’s Help, Nov 15, 2018.) Everything depends on the …
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Quad recedes into shade. It’s the RCEP, stupid!
(Second RCEP Summit, Singapore, Nov 14, 2018) The ill-starred quadrilateral Joint-Secretary level format of ‘Asian democracies’ – US, Japan, Australia and India – would have held its third meeting in Singapore on Wednesday. Again, there was no joint statement issued after the meeting. In fact, unlike previous occasions when the four Asian democracies issued press …
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PM Modi’s Singapore trip prompts rethink on BRI
Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s hurried 36-hour visit to Singapore to attend the 13th East Asia Summit, Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership and other associated meetings of the ASEAN Summit compares with the full five working days from Monday to Friday that his Chinese counterpart Li Keqiang will be camping in the port city with much the same …
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